Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001751 0.001827 0.001905 0.001993 0.002088 0.002190 0.002306
2025-06-08 0.001649 0.001759 0.001879 0.002019 0.002180 0.002362 0.002585
2025-06-15 0.001568 0.001700 0.001849 0.002031 0.002250 0.002510 0.002849
2025-06-22 0.001486 0.001632 0.001799 0.002010 0.002273 0.002598 0.003047
2025-06-29 0.001414 0.001568 0.001747 0.001979 0.002276 0.002658 0.003211
2025-07-06 0.001362 0.001523 0.001714 0.001965 0.002297 0.002739 0.003410
2025-07-13 0.001290 0.001449 0.001640 0.001894 0.002236 0.002700 0.003427
2025-07-20 0.001254 0.001418 0.001618 0.001887 0.002258 0.002777 0.003627
2025-07-27 0.001231 0.001401 0.001611 0.001900 0.002306 0.002894 0.003908
2025-08-03 0.001200 0.001372 0.001587 0.001886 0.002315 0.002953 0.004100
2025-08-10 0.001182 0.001360 0.001584 0.001901 0.002366 0.003080 0.004434
2025-08-17 0.001158 0.001337 0.001565 0.001893 0.002381 0.003150 0.004676
2025-08-24 0.001127 0.001306 0.001537 0.001870 0.002374 0.003187 0.004866
2025-08-31 0.001118 0.001303 0.001544 0.001899 0.002449 0.003371 0.005421
2025-09-07 0.001104 0.001293 0.001541 0.001913 0.002501 0.003521 0.005952
2025-09-14 0.001080 0.001269 0.001518 0.001894 0.002499 0.003572 0.006254
2025-09-21 0.001054 0.001241 0.001490 0.001867 0.002480 0.003587 0.006463
2025-09-28 0.001035 0.001222 0.001472 0.001855 0.002486 0.003651 0.006840
2025-10-05 0.001000 0.001181 0.001422 0.001792 0.002400 0.003522 0.006587
2025-10-12 0.000985 0.001166 0.001409 0.001785 0.002412 0.003595 0.007006
2025-10-19 0.000977 0.001160 0.001408 0.001796 0.002455 0.003738 0.007738
2025-10-26 0.000961 0.001144 0.001393 0.001784 0.002455 0.003790 0.008169
2025-11-02 0.000954 0.001139 0.001393 0.001798 0.002503 0.003952 0.009167